Markets forecast: 62% chance spot Brent stays above $110 at the end of November
Physical oil trades about $20 above futures as Gulf shipping stays under attack. Our dated forecast on the spot price.
Markets
A daily markets brief and dated, probabilistic forecasts on rates, inflation, oil and indices. Every forecast is checked in public on our scorecard.
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Markets forecast: 80% chance the Bank of England raises rates to 4% on 5 November
Three MPC members already voted to hike in September and inflation is climbing. Our dated forecast and what could still change it.
Markets forecast: 72% chance the Fed holds rates on 28 October
US inflation ran hot in September, but the Fed only raised rates six weeks ago. Our dated forecast and the reasoning behind it.
Journalism and AI-assisted analysis, not financial advice or a personal recommendation. Forecasts can be wrong. Neither Vocemundi nor its editor hold positions in instruments mentioned. No single-stock calls, no buy or sell recommendations. Published by Vocemundi Ltd (Registered in England and Wales, No. 17524182).